Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.303 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?Yes | sell | 5.98 | $0.164 | $0.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.27 |
| $0.790 |
| $1.17 |
| +$0.17 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.215 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 5.99 |
| $0.167 |
| $1 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.303 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.419 | $2.16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.194 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.081 | $0.62 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.215 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | sell | 2.04 | $0.830 | $1.69 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.347 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.375 | $1.15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes | buy | 73.73 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.326 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.112 | $0.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.285 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.237 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.433 | $3.3 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.131 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.360 | $0.94 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.035 | $0.13 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.157 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.320 | $1.33 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.090 | $0.64 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.330 | $2.33 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.49 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.23 | $0.806 | $2.6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.142 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.309 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |