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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 92.73 | $0.280 | $22.3 | -$3.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 571.43 |
| $0.035 |
| $13.43 |
| -$6.57 |
 Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.53 | +$1.53 |
| Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.32 | +$1.32 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $9.57 | -$0.43 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 31.32 | $0.319 | $7.53 | -$2.47 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15.06 | $0.332 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $4.53 | -$0.47 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.05 | $0.204 | $2.62 | -$7.38 |
| Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.9 | +$0.9 |
| Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.33 | $0.375 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 15.06 |
| $0.332 |
| $5 |
| 7d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.05 | $0.204 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | buy | 31.32 | $0.319 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.77 | $0.973 | $100 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.02 | $0.245 | $34.85 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 69.84 | $0.830 | $57.95 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.742 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.718 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi endorse Jeanette Jara for President of Chile?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |