Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 35 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 85 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 17 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14.5% on 31 Jul 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?”.
$9.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.99K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 91 trades, $115.68 bought Yes and $4.99K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 147 shares; the largest No position is StarMaster with 231. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 85 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StarMaster | No | 230.59 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 147.36 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 65.85 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876
| geonb |
| No |
| 57.2 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 33.1 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 20 |
| nahte10 | Yes | 20 |
| gugw6 | No | 20 |
| heipp15 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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