Analytics
Yes is at 6.4%, down 44 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 4.3%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.5% on 31 Jul 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?”.
$79.32 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $109.68K since listing. The order book holds $9.51K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 253 trades, $868.12 bought Yes and $37.96K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 321 shares; the largest No position is Bohemian with 200. Ten wallets hold 94.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 321.48 |
| Bohemian | No | 200 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 169.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876
| smellyEllie |
| No |
| 151 |
| Ecstatic-Veto | No | 143 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 90.72 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 69.41 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 49.98 |
| VellutoNero | No | 45.65 |
| V4grant | Yes | 29.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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