Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, up 17 points from 30.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 47.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?”.
$51.35 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $309.7 since listing. The order book holds $165.43, with a 41.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 28 trades, $17.14 bought Yes and $132.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 85 shares; the largest No position is Jade Raven F0F5 with 43.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 84.7 |
| Jade Raven F0F5 | No | 42.86 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 20.02 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-visit-ukraine-by-december-31-20260729205841876
| Dirty-Burn |
| No |
| 20 |
| galhammerman | No | 20 |
| auofi7 | Yes | 18.58 |
| osmych | No | 4.13 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 2.72 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 1.41 |
| Agreeable-Astrology | No | 1.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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