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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 241.67 | $0.862 | $228.37 | +$20.02 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 168.42 | $0.463 | $78 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 111.94 |
| $0.890 |
| $99.07 |
| -$0.56 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 100.01 | $0.850 | $89.51 | +$4.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 168.42 | $0.463 | $65.68 | -$12.32 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 87 | $0.680 | $40.46 | -$18.71 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.86 | $0.910 | $16.11 | +$0.77 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.28 | $0.810 | $11.81 | +$1.86 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.93 | $0.910 | $10.11 | +$0.16 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 9.99 | $0.901 | $9.68 | +$0.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 103 |
| $0.770 |
| $79.31 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 111.94 | $0.890 | $99.63 | 5d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.943 | $7.07 | 18d ago |
 Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.777 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.270 | $90 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.427 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.255 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.317 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 5.63 | $0.030 | $0.17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.105 | $0.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.177 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.575 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.67 | $0.870 | $45.82 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.030 | $0.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 10.79 | $0.932 | $10.06 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.63 | $0.720 | $20.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.88 | $0.380 | $16.67 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Yes | sell | 16.68 | $0.140 | $2.34 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 144.2 | $0.750 | $108.15 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.64 | $0.660 | $18.9 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.88 | $0.340 | $14.92 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | buy | 144.2 | $0.690 | $99.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.28 | $0.810 | $9.95 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.3 | $0.770 | $24.87 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.95 | $0.766 | $29.85 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?Yes | buy | 16.69 | $0.596 | $9.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 27.63 | $0.740 | $20.45 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 27.64 | $0.720 | $19.9 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.7 | $0.930 | $9.95 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.65 | $0.945 | $49.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 59.94 | $0.830 | $49.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50.92 | $0.977 | $49.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.170 | $3.69 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | sell | 7.96 | $0.560 | $4.46 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes | sell | 21.96 | $0.410 | $9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Apr 21, 2026 |