Analytics
Yes is at 87.8%, up 76 points from 12% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.7% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Aug 2026. The current quote, 87.8%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 64.1% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 55%; a month before, 52.2%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 67.8% on 19 Sep 2026.
November 2026 is the favourite of the 16 outcomes in “In which month will Anthropic IPO?”, ahead of December 2026 at 7.8%.
$1.22K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $118.88K since listing. The order book holds $7.47K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $13.33K bought Yes and $4.87K bought No; the largest was a $1.05K buy of Yes at 65.3¢.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 6.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 13.5K. Ten wallets hold 77.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 12.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 64.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.45K |
| balthazar | Yes | 6.85K |
| Rundown-Regard | No | 5.42K |
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| DancewithRisk |
| Yes |
| 3.97K |
| marthi | Yes | 3.23K |
| jyPoz | Yes | 1.76K |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | 1.01K |
| flovertaco | No | 1K |
| mombil | Yes | 919 |
| listof28 | Yes | 736.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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