Analytics
Yes is at 0.6%, down 3.5 points from 4% when the market opened on 20 Aug 2026.
The high was 4% on 20 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 29 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.5%; a month ago, 0.8%.
August 2027 ranks 12th of the 16 outcomes in “In which month will Anthropic IPO?”. November 2026 leads at 59.4%; December 2026 is at 14.4%.
$7.26K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.4K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 185 trades, $6.48 bought Yes and $5.18K bought No.
The largest Yes position is dontshowmyname with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 8.8K. Ten wallets hold 93.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 53 points · 20 Aug 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 4.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.82K |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 2.27K |
| BBB8866 | Yes | 1.84K |
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo
4 more outcomes, none above 0.6%.
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 1.28K |
| BBBBBB886 | Yes | 763.12 |
| Penooooo | Yes | 591.59 |
| donthackme | Yes | 273.54 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 226.27 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 215.81 |
| Olcan | Yes | 210 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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