Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 556.18 | $0.499 | $253.06 | -$24.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.040 | $52.79 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 513.44 |
| $0.010 |
| $41.59 |
| +$36.45 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $25.45 | +$17.45 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | Yes | 343.98 | $0.093 | $24.42 | -$7.57 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.090 | $17.55 | -$9.45 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 763.12 | $0.010 | $16.79 | +$9.16 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 26.92 | $0.180 | $10.9 | +$6.06 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 708.12 | $0.010 | $10.62 | +$3.54 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 708.12 | $0.010 | $9.56 | +$2.48 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? | Yes | 674.51 | $0.013 | $8.77 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 758.12 | $0.010 | $7.96 | +$0.38 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 763.12 | $0.010 | $6.1 | -$1.53 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 644.7 | $0.010 | $5.8 | -$0.64 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 763.12 | $0.010 | $5.72 | -$1.91 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 763.12 | $0.010 | $5.34 | -$2.29 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 664.72 | $0.010 | $5.32 | -$1.33 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 338.1 | $0.136 | $5.24 | -$40.61 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 758.12 | $0.010 | $4.93 | -$2.65 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 686.12 | $0.009 | $3.77 | -$2.4 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 489.2 | $0.032 | $3.67 | -$11.98 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 100 | $0.130 | $0.7 | -$12.3 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 207.4 | $0.011 | $0.62 | -$1.71 |
| sell |
| 20.22 |
| $0.170 |
| $3.44 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 400 | $0.037 | $14.88 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.008 | $16.11 | 6d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 460.28 | $0.050 | $23.01 | 6d ago |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.028 | $32.39 | 6d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 4.29K | $0.008 | $34.3 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.130 | $139.84 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 7d ago |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | sell | 167.4 | $0.345 | $57.76 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 234.08 | $0.130 | $30.43 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 556.28 | $0.058 | $32.54 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 599.98 | $0.021 | $12.78 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150.68 | $0.540 | $81.37 | 11d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.100 | $70 | 11d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 375.55 | $0.490 | $184.02 | 12d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 399.98 | $0.190 | $76 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 828.84 | $0.110 | $91.17 | 12d ago |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 175.34 | $0.166 | $29.11 | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 148.1 | $0.130 | $19.25 | 13d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.140 | $26.6 | 13d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?No | buy | 178.4 | $0.034 | $6 | 15d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Yes | buy | 351.05 | $0.046 | $16 | 15d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?No | buy | 113.5 | $0.053 | $6 | 15d ago |
 Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi | sell | 99.98 | $0.020 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Speed | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes | buy | 343.98 | $0.093 | $31.99 | 15d ago |
 Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group DAlliance | sell | 100 | $0.285 | $28.47 | 16d ago |
 LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters | buy | 563.89 | $0.018 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?No | buy | 40 | $0.290 | $11.6 | 17d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 17d ago |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 385.71 | $0.005 | $1.8 | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | 17d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.048 | $9.84 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.047 | $4.84 | 18d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 167.4 | $0.360 | $60.26 | 19d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 211.54 | $0.226 | $47.81 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.190 | $57 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 621.11 | $0.110 | $68.32 | 20d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 84.38 | $0.401 | $33.85 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 193.11 | $0.001 | $0.19 | 20d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | sell | 99.97 | $0.072 | $7.2 | 20d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 242.58 | $0.033 | $8.01 | 20d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | 22d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160.28 | $0.110 | $17.63 | 22d ago |
