Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 7.68K | $0.614 | $6.41K | +$1.7K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.490 | $882 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.7K |
| $0.572 |
| $5.19K |
| -$363.47 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 4.7K | $0.875 | $4.21K | +$94.5 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 4.39K | $0.788 | $3.88K | +$423.74 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.81K | $0.667 | $3.56K | +$1.02K |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 3.3K | $0.920 | $3.15K | +$115.51 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 3.14K | $0.871 | $2.81K | +$75.51 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 3.07K | $0.816 | $2.81K | +$303.31 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.75K | $0.932 | $2.69K | +$128.31 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3.33K | $0.710 | $2.4K | +$32 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.1K | $0.980 | $2.08K | +$24.15 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.790 | $1.68K | +$100.16 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.55K | $0.640 | $1.02K | +$23.88 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 4.75K | $0.070 | $783.75 | +$451.25 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 679.75 | $0.920 | $645.76 | +$20.39 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? | No | 592.03 | $0.950 | $587.89 | +$25.64 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 653.82 | $0.900 | $575.36 | -$12.94 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 3.27K | $0.168 | $474.73 | -$74.05 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.150 | $465 | +$15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.280 | $444.4 | -$177.76 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 472.89 | $0.770 | $380.68 | +$16.55 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 406.02 | $0.450 | $371.51 | +$188.8 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 387.94 | $0.541 | $362.72 | +$153 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 345.86 | $0.996 | $345.69 | +$1.21 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.120 | $187.5 | +$7.5 |
| sell |
| 999.99 |
| $0.710 |
| $709.99 |
| 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.710 | $709.99 | 3h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 956.38 | $0.230 | $220.37 | 12h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 616.62 | $0.250 | $154.38 | 12h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.380 | $10.26 | 12h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 12h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.330 | $493.43 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 181.09 | $0.663 | $119.98 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 273.04 | $0.383 | $104.52 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 454.51 | $0.370 | $168.17 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 333.38 | $0.996 | $332.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 108.75 | $0.960 | $104.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 356.25 | $0.950 | $338.44 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 127.03 | $0.940 | $119.41 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 366.73 | $0.057 | $20.79 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 387.94 | $0.541 | $209.73 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump Insult Mapquest this week?No | buy | 35.68 | $0.952 | $33.97 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 309.82 | $0.946 | $292.95 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 154.19 | $0.256 | $39.41 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 436.86 | $0.376 | $164.23 | 5d ago |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 3?Yes | buy | 96.19 | $0.990 | $95.23 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 838.46 | $0.550 | $461.15 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 709.99 | $0.936 | $664.55 | 6d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 679.75 | $0.920 | $625.37 | 6d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.900 | $1.48K | 6d ago |
 Will Trump say "Who Are You With" or "Where Are You From" in September?Yes | buy | 223 | $0.883 | $196.84 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump say "Central Casting" in September?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.988 | $158 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 506.12 | $0.984 | $498.09 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 240.19 | $0.983 | $236.1 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.87 | $0.858 | $22.19 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.3 | $0.860 | $20.04 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.854 | $22.05 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.81 | $0.849 | $63.51 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 224 | $0.638 | $142.8 | 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.860 | $150.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.83 | $0.807 | $81.34 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 330.02 | $0.170 | $56.1 | 9d ago |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.025 | $86.37 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 2.94K | $0.167 | $492.68 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.870 | $2.04K | 9d ago |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 922.35 | $0.900 | $830.12 | 9d ago |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.910 | $1.52K | 9d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 32 | $0.720 | $23.04 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 67.99 | $0.732 | $49.75 | 10d ago |
 Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | 11d ago |
| Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 800 | $0.988 | $790.08 | 11d ago |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.920 | $1.53K | 11d ago |