Analytics
Yes is at 33%, up 8.5 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 33% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 12% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 29.5% on 31 Oct 2026.
$85B to $95B is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?”, ahead of $95B to $105B at 27.6%.
$4.24K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $41.95K since listing. The order book holds $15.81K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 321 trades, $4.06K bought Yes and $7.9K bought No.
The largest Yes position is DancewithRisk with 4.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.4K. Ten wallets hold 95.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DancewithRisk | Yes | 4.46K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.35K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 3.13K |
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-anthropic-raise-in-its-ipo
| 0x49F206 | No | 2.53K |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 166.33 |
| Emerald Quasar 78EE | No | 166.07 |
| AMAM13 | No | 134.99 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 112.5 |
| Lolakis | Yes | 105.36 |
| Haradwaith | No | 85.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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