Analytics
Yes is at 26.5%, down 22 points from 49% at 26 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Across 19 price reads from 26 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, the highest read was 49% on 26 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC and the lowest 20.5% on 27 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
$105B to $115B is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?”, ahead of $115B to $125B at 24.5%.
$775.56 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.61K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 198 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 260.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 26 Oct, 22:00 UTC – 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 49.0% |
| 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 259.6 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 198.2 |
| Lunar Beacon B7C5 | Yes | 29.87 |
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-anthropic-raise-in-its-ipo
| ccxxoo22 | Yes | 25.92 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 25 |
| Quiet Scout 1889 | Yes | 20 |
| lissartter | No | 20 |
| jiannine | No | 20 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 0.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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