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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

No

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.0M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 30, 2026 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Bewitched-Inclusion	sell	Yes	99.9%	6.19	Apr 30, 7:40 PM UTC
Frightened-Tomato	sell	Yes	99.9%	138.88	Apr 30, 7:32 PM UTC
grind.goblin	sell	Yes	99.9%	307.99	Apr 30, 7:20 PM UTC
Frosty-Coast-Understanding	sell	Yes	99.9%	11.89	Apr 30, 7:04 PM UTC
HumanGrowthHormone	sell	Yes	99.9%	84.52	Apr 30, 6:51 PM UTC
mrtracia225	sell	Yes	99.9%	2.57	Apr 30, 6:44 PM UTC
Free-Analog	sell	Yes	99.9%	1.08	Apr 30, 6:35 PM UTC
Extraneous-Sunlight	sell	Yes	99.9%	2.5	Apr 30, 6:32 PM UTC
vanox	sell	Yes	99.9%	7.4	Apr 30, 6:12 PM UTC
Altoa	sell	Yes	99.9%	14.08	Apr 30, 6:12 PM UTC
OneBadBet	sell	Yes	99.9%	99.72	Apr 30, 6:02 PM UTC
OneBadBet	sell	Yes	99.9%	172	Apr 30, 6:00 PM UTC
blindmaninanorgy	sell	Yes	99.9%	176.64	Apr 30, 5:53 PM UTC
blindmaninanorgy	sell	Yes	99.9%	395	Apr 30, 5:53 PM UTC
blindmaninanorgy	sell	Yes	99.9%	428.36	Apr 30, 5:53 PM UTC
Truthful-Discharge	sell	Yes	99.9%	16.48	Apr 30, 5:50 PM UTC
Plush-Observation	sell	Yes	99.9%	22.47	Apr 30, 5:42 PM UTC
Incomparable-Tug	sell	Yes	99.9%	391.62	Apr 30, 5:42 PM UTC
PUERTOVALLERTA452	sell	Yes	99.9%	56.38	Apr 30, 5:25 PM UTC
Similar-Icon	sell	Yes	99.9%	21.97	Apr 30, 5:20 PM UTC
Timely-Religion	sell	Yes	99.9%	152.5	Apr 30, 5:08 PM UTC
acsmango	sell	Yes	99.9%	110.99	Apr 30, 5:01 PM UTC
crypto_msia	sell	Yes	99.9%	10	Apr 30, 4:59 PM UTC
suntori	sell	Yes	99.9%	526.3	Apr 30, 4:56 PM UTC
Double-Singing	sell	Yes	99.9%	1.08	Apr 30, 4:46 PM UTC
SmilingFriends	sell	Yes	99.9%	645	Apr 30, 4:29 PM UTC
SmilingFriends	sell	Yes	99.9%	480	Apr 30, 4:29 PM UTC
SmilingFriends	sell	Yes	99.9%	594.44	Apr 30, 4:29 PM UTC
SmilingFriends	sell	Yes	99.9%	535	Apr 30, 4:29 PM UTC
SmilingFriends	sell	Yes	99.9%	21.85	Apr 30, 4:29 PM UTC
prv2163	sell	Yes	99.9%	1.14	Apr 30, 4:24 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	249.42	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	520	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	360	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	670	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	460	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	560	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	440	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	540	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	470	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
zee3617	sell	Yes	99.9%	1.38K	Apr 30, 4:21 PM UTC
Wretched-Plover	sell	Yes	99.9%	41.11	Apr 30, 4:12 PM UTC
r3v3rs3	sell	Yes	99.9%	5.04	Apr 30, 4:06 PM UTC
Novel-Assertion	sell	Yes	99.9%	9.75	Apr 30, 4:01 PM UTC
zzy379777786	sell	Yes	99.9%	72.85	Apr 30, 4:00 PM UTC
flylevince99	sell	No	0.2%	621.44	Apr 30, 3:59 PM UTC
99problems123	buy	Yes	99.9%	16.24K	Apr 30, 3:59 PM UTC
tja	buy	Yes	99.8%	621.44	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
tja	buy	Yes	99.8%	609.4	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
qcp11	buy	Yes	99.8%	6.02	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
Unaware-Hurry	sell	Yes	99.7%	16.48	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
ACara	buy	No	0.2%	6.02	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
tja	buy	Yes	99.8%	615.42	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
qcp11	buy	Yes	99.8%	6.02	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
tja	buy	Yes	99.8%	862.09	Apr 30, 3:58 PM UTC
KingofHaidian	sell	Yes	99.6%	2.4	Apr 30, 3:29 PM UTC
bimba-bumba	sell	Yes	99.6%	6.02	Apr 30, 3:22 PM UTC
teremor	buy	Yes	99.8%	300.7	Apr 30, 3:13 PM UTC
DrS8	buy	Yes	99.7%	300.9	Apr 30, 3:11 PM UTC
Jjw	buy	Yes	99.6%	90	Apr 30, 3:01 PM UTC

60 of the 500 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.