Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 9.31K | $0.854 | $8.97K | +$1.02K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 360.18 | $0.992 | $357.3 | 10h ago |
 |
blindmaninanorgy is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #48,310 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of Sep 13, 6:34 PM the record shows +$2.29K observed lifetime PnL, $531.3K of traded volume, 417 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 96.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6bedb65d4bec63a0fef84cd0f19a54f64029b1fe
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 4.07K |
| $0.963 |
| $4.03K |
| +$117.18 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 3.75K | $0.983 | $3.7K | +$13.53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | No | 677.52 | $0.944 | $658.21 | +$18.97 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 625.15 | $0.963 | $616.71 | +$14.82 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 440.76 | $0.048 | $36.8 | +$15.84 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.009 | $15.63 | +$4.38 |
| buy |
| 190 |
| $0.953 |
| $181.07 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 157.17 | $0.944 | $148.37 | 3d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 150 | $0.993 | $148.95 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 74 | $0.943 | $69.78 | 3d ago |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.009 | $11.25 | 3d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 287.25 | $0.046 | $13.21 | 3d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 211.99 | $0.991 | $210.08 | 4d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 330 | $0.993 | $327.69 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.929 | $92.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.991 | $1.58K | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 299.08 | $0.990 | $296.09 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 32.72 | $0.989 | $32.36 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 100.07 | $0.982 | $98.27 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.978 | $44.99 | 6d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 3.03K | $0.992 | $3K | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No | buy | 156.35 | $0.941 | $147.13 | 10d ago |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.990 | $8.91 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 115.25 | $0.990 | $114.1 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 130.16 | $0.989 | $128.73 | 10d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | 10d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 182.76 | $0.997 | $182.21 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.988 | $5.68 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | 14d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.24 | $0.989 | $40.79 | 14d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 203.47 | $0.988 | $201.03 | 14d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 220.4 | $0.998 | $219.96 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 260.64 | $0.998 | $260.12 | 14d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 903.77 | $0.984 | $889.31 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?No | buy | 38.8 | $0.942 | $36.55 | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 38.43 | $0.999 | $38.39 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?No | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.21 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?No | sell | 112.77 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on August 14?No | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.995 | $12.59 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 9?No | buy | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 8?No | buy | 290 | $0.995 | $288.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 10?No | buy | 75 | $0.995 | $74.63 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.950 | $24.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?No | sell | 100 | $0.351 | $35.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?No | buy | 150 | $0.970 | $145.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?No | buy | 23.93 | $0.946 | $22.64 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?No | buy | 31.64 | $0.995 | $31.48 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?No | buy | 121.86 | $0.994 | $121.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.