Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 219.59 | $0.821 | $208.94 | +$28.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 202.76 |
| $0.273 |
| $164.24 |
| +$108.94 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 191.96 | $0.420 | $162.21 | +$81.58 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 434.18 | $0.190 | $156.3 | +$73.81 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 135.52 | $0.630 | $121.29 | +$35.91 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 220 | $0.310 | $111.1 | +$42.9 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 67.98 | $0.700 | $44.19 | -$3.42 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.9 | $0.776 | $38.67 | -$0.07 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 38.45 | $0.634 | $31.72 | +$7.33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 32.37 | $0.777 | $27.68 | +$2.51 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.77 | $0.890 | $22.46 | +$1.31 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 33.26 | $0.370 | $21.95 | +$9.65 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 55.07 | $0.440 | $21.48 | -$2.75 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.31 | $0.940 | $18.83 | +$0.68 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 54.4 | $0.337 | $17.68 | -$0.68 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.31 | $0.960 | $15.85 | +$0.19 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 17.08 | $0.918 | $15.63 | -$0.06 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.35 | $0.639 | $15.29 | +$4.84 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 70.94 | $0.257 | $15.25 | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 14.29 | $0.430 | $14.07 | +$7.92 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.8 | $0.901 | $13.99 | +$0.65 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.46 | $0.830 | $12.65 | +$0.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.91 | $0.203 | $12.22 | +$6.15 |
 Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 13.2 | $0.910 | $12.08 | +$0.07 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 8.83 | $0.690 | $7.64 | +$1.55 |
| buy |
| 3.55 |
| $0.440 |
| $1.56 |
| 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.440 | $4.27 | 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 11.08 | $0.440 | $4.88 | 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.440 | $4.89 | 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.440 | $4.89 | 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.440 | $2.44 | 10h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.440 | $1.3 | 10h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | 10h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 7.95 | $0.754 | $5.99 | 10h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.991 | $6.06 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.950 | $6.07 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | 5d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.919 | $6.34 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.045 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.045 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.045 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.045 | $0.17 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.64 | $0.045 | $1.24 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.967 | $6.01 | 6d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.860 | $6 | 12d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | 13d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.819 | $0.1 | 14d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.037 | $6.34 | 14d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 46.16 | $0.150 | $6.92 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.909 | $2.64 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.920 | $6.07 | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.910 | $6.01 | 16d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.840 | $6.01 | 17d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6 | 19d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6 | 19d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.920 | $3.06 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | buy | 15.93 | $0.380 | $6.05 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.700 | $6.08 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.920 | $6.07 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.920 | $6.07 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 9 hours?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | 19d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.930 | $6.01 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 15.39 | $0.400 | $6.16 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.979 | $6.07 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.400 | $2.02 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.400 | $2.14 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.750 | $3.85 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.750 | $1.59 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.750 | $1.59 | 20d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.609 | $6.09 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.670 | $1.49 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.860 | $6.07 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.550 | $3.24 | 21d ago |