Analytics
Yes is at 88.5%, up 4 points from 84.5% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 67 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 84.5% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 87%; a month before, 93.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 94% on 24 Sep 2026.
Ann Kao is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner”, ahead of Chuang Ching-cheng at 11.6%.
$84.67 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $30.21K since listing. The order book holds $38.66K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 123 trades, $2.01K bought Yes and $2.06K bought No; the largest was a $1.65K buy of No at 11.2¢.
The largest Yes position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 11.7K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 10.6K. Ten wallets hold 98.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 84.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 88.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 11.72K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 10.65K |
| join-in | No | 2.17K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716400
| december | Yes | 1.14K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 488.59 |
| Tingo2026 | Yes | 203.32 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 126.03 |
| SoloXIA | Yes | 120 |
| Digital-Boy | Yes | 100.39 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 100.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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