Analytics
Yes is at 17.3%, about where the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 450 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 6 Nov 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.7% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 15 Sep 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.7%; a month before, 17.9%. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points up, to 20.8% on 13 Aug 2026.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ranks second of the 56 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Jon Ossoff leads at 27.3%; Gavin Newsom is at 12.7%.
$134.73K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.88M since listing. The order book holds $549.49K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $22.99K bought Yes and $10.08K bought No; the largest was a $11.29K buy of Yes at 16.5¢.
The largest Yes position is failstober with 383.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.17M. Ten wallets hold 76.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 450 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 17.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 17.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.17M |
| failstober | Yes | 383.1K |
| machbut | Yes | 340.58K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
44 more outcomes, none above 1.4%.
| Goodburger |
| Yes |
| 295.85K |
| KingKRool | Yes | 208.8K |
| Rex | Yes | 200.95K |
| novice99 | Yes | 144.07K |
| AgricultureSecretary | Yes | 100K |
| TheEmprah | Yes | 80.92K |
| baddestofthemall | Yes | 78.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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