Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$37.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 57% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 17 Aug 2026, the highest close was 98.6% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 7 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 60% on 5 Aug 2026. $37.59K traded over the market's life.

40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 17 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jul 2026	57.0%
17 Aug 2026	97.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.21K
AMAM13	No	555.92
Turbulent-Decline-Router	No	434

10 of 40 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Osun State, Nigeria on August 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).