Analytics
The Renato Moicano side is at 43%, up 10 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 46% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)”.
$674.92 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $675.86 since listing. The order book holds $9.14K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $151.39 bought Renato Moicano and $78.19 bought Tom Nolan.
The largest Renato Moicano position is VeryLucky888 with 77 shares; the largest Tom Nolan position is dovetail with 103.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:22 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Renato Moicano price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Renato Moicano price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dovetail | Tom Nolan | 103.33 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Tom Nolan | 82.08 |
| VeryLucky888 | Renato Moicano | 77.14 |
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-tom14-2026-10-31
14 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| manuel9009 | Renato Moicano | 67.38 |
| 450toMillion | Renato Moicano | 50 |
| Horusss887 | Tom Nolan | 40.91 |
| hokipoki | Tom Nolan | 19.5 |
| rayvanmechelen | Renato Moicano | 18.33 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Renato Moicano | 15 |
| Uneven-Salami | Renato Moicano | 10.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
