Analytics
Yes is at 34.5%, down 16 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $1.87K, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 1 and Round 2 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-tom14-2026-10-31
15 more markets, none above 34.0%.
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