Analytics
Yes is at 33%, down 17 points from 50% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)”.
$6.1 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.07K, with a 26.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 with 1 shares; the largest No position is Dos4 with 1.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 1.43 |
| Dos4 | No | 1.43 |
| ifyoudontknownow | No | 1.07 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-tom14-2026-10-31
14 more markets, none above 34.5%.
| Silver Atlas 7546 | Yes | 1.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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