Analytics
The Brendan Allen side is at 53.5%, up 30 points from 24% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
The high was 58% on 4 Oct 2026 and the low 24% on 27 Sep 2026. A week ago the Brendan Allen side was at 43%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 40.5% on 28 Sep 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)”.
$1.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.43K since listing. The order book holds $32.28K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 98 trades, $4.34K bought Brendan Allen and $1.54K bought Christian Leroy Duncan.
The largest Brendan Allen position is enjoyablestench with 1.8K shares; the largest Christian Leroy Duncan position is GambleFroth with 2.9K. Ten wallets hold 79.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 10:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Brendan Allen price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 27 Sep 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Brendan Allen price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 24.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GambleFroth | Christian Leroy Duncan | 2.85K |
| almet | Christian Leroy Duncan | 2K |
| enjoyablestench | Brendan Allen | 1.82K |
This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-chr20-2026-10-10
15 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| dovetail | Brendan Allen | 1.54K |
| omnibus-076daa | Christian Leroy Duncan | 1.23K |
| VeryLucky888 | Brendan Allen | 1.19K |
| dumbguy | Brendan Allen | 1.07K |
| caspar1248 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 735.16 |
| Whalerfan | Brendan Allen | 690.21 |
| Alvves | Brendan Allen | 669.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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