Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 42% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 43% on 9 Oct 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 3:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, officially ends before Round 4 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 3 and Round 4 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-chr20-2026-10-10
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