Analytics
Yes is at 31%, down 19 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
The high was 50% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 31% on 8 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 8 Oct 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $2.85K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 11 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 1:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 27 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-chr20-2026-10-10
14 more markets, none above 35.5%.
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