Analytics
Trading ended on 11 Oct 2026 with Yes at 41.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 50% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 41% on 9 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 41% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)”.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 1:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 27 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
15 more markets, none above 36.5%.
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-chr20-2026-10-10
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