Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 23.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 23.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 9 Oct 2026. $5.32K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 3:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| roscoff | No | 1.13K |
| journeymanfinalboss | No | 29.11 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| oo2oo | No | 13.64 |
| PrivetProperty | No | 5 |
| curie | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bre1-chr20-2026-10-10
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