- What is the “Spain power outage caused by hack?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Spain power outage caused by hack? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on May 5, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($222.93K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
