Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 29 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2025 to 6 May 2025, the highest close was 4.3% on 29 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 6 May 2025. $222.93K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Apr 2025 – 6 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2025 | 4.3% |
| 6 May 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gandirham | Yes | 1.94K |
| fakeuser | Yes | 1.82K |
| miguergs93 | Yes | 1.67K |
| Mercedesarul | Yes | 1.05K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spain-power-outage-caused-by-hack
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| Gottacatchemall | Yes | 142.86 |
| Gripping-Negligee | Yes | 119.05 |
| userbett | Yes | 114.92 |
| Tony61Montana | Yes | 102.04 |
| brght | Yes | 90.38 |
