Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.31K | $0.130 | $53.17 | -$246.83 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.230 | $17.25 | 4d ago |
|
| buy |
| 178.47 |
| $0.190 |
| $33.91 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.465 | $13.95 | May 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.28 | $0.350 | $20.05 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 882.42 | $0.620 | $547.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 260.26 | $0.762 | $198.4 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.130 | $300 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Yes | sell | 856.68 | $0.757 | $648.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 146.32 | $0.380 | $55.6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Yes | buy | 856.68 | $0.467 | $400 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.28 | $0.320 | $18.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?Yes | buy | 607.45 | $0.310 | $188.31 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.23 | $0.647 | $105 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 661.59 | $0.006 | $3.97 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 914.36 | $0.018 | $16.33 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Google Gemini ParlayYes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?Yes | buy | 91.79 | $0.654 | $60 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 641.61 | $0.094 | $60 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.089 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| French election called by October 31?No | sell | 253.96 | $0.993 | $252.18 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.210 | $7 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| French election called by October 31?No | buy | 253.97 | $0.630 | $160 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.220 | $40 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Yes | sell | 509.71 | $0.987 | $503.25 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.39 | $0.860 | $8.08 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Yes | buy | 509.72 | $0.600 | $305.73 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.460 | $80 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Yes | buy | 388.92 | $0.257 | $100 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | buy | 687.09 | $0.437 | $300 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | buy | 444.18 | $0.450 | $200 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | sell | 588.23 | $0.810 | $476.47 | May 11, 2025 |
 Spain power outage caused by hack?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Congress pass a bill limiting Trump's tariffs before July?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.070 | $200 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Congress pass a bill limiting Trump's tariffs before July?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.060 | $25 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.340 | $200 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.120 | $40 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 US-EU trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 424.63 | $0.353 | $150 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Macron out in 2025?Yes | buy | 661.59 | $0.151 | $100 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 55.03 | $0.483 | $26.58 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out before July?Yes | buy | 686.72 | $0.437 | $300 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | sell | 259.87 | $0.347 | $90.27 | Feb 23, 2025 |