Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.029 | $0.41 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 58.82 |
| $0.017 |
| $1 |
| Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?Yes | buy | 42.5 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | buy | 75.47 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India before August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel before August?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on July 1?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.016 | $0.94 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 45.39 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 40.59 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 3.94K | $0.008 | $31.55 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | sell | 113.97 | $0.007 | $0.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC before July?Yes | sell | 137.5 | $0.005 | $0.69 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?Yes | sell | 225.49 | $0.004 | $0.9 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 X data center fire confirmed arson before July?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.010 | $0.71 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 190 | $0.010 | $1.9 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.021 | $1.04 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.99K | $0.011 | $32.38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2K | $0.011 | $22 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.014 | $4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?Yes | sell | 50.53 | $0.064 | $3.22 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 844.11 | $0.020 | $16.88 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.017 | $4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.195 | $3.89 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Trump overturns Biden pardon before July?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?Yes | buy | 54.96 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO before July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Romania election called before July?Yes | buy | 67.33 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Tim Walz announce Senate run before July?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |