Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 30 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 19 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 17% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?”.
$333.77 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.57K since listing. The order book holds $13.28K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 113 trades, $324.68 bought Yes and $1.45K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 477 shares; the largest No position is StarMaster with 500. Ten wallets hold 91% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StarMaster | No | 499.72 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 476.9 |
| AiBird | Yes | 146.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Taiz Governorate, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. "Taiz Governorate" refers to the entirety of Taiz Governorate, Yemen, as defined by its official administrative boundaries. "Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Taiz Governorate, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Saudi troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Saudi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying entry cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date. If Saudi troop entry into the specified territory is not established by this market's resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia, including the Saudi Ministry of Defense; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-taiz-governorate-by
| Malganis |
| No |
| 119 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 104 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 81.41 |
| pppnn | Yes | 40 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 39.55 |
| altar07 | No | 30 |
| ghorrock | No | 26.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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