Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 29 Aug 2025, the highest close was 90.5% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 65.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 70.5% on 26 Aug 2025. $47.93K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 5:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 29 Aug 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 72.5% |
| 29 Aug 2025 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 7153649820 | No | 699.98 |
| RepublicOfChina | No | 276.02 |
| sunny9154497 | No | 168.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paetongtarn Shinawatra ceases to be the Prime Minister of Thailand for any period of time between August 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Paetongtarn Shinawatra's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Thailand, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paetongtarn-shinawatra-out-as-pm-of-thailand-by-december-31
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 125 |
| lissartter | No | 79.67 |
| Delta0710 | No | 23.81 |
| zk002 | No | 4 |
| 007rinima007zk | No | 4 |
| haoxiansheng | No | 3.7 |
| maxwerywell | Yes | 0.02 |
