Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 30 | $0.790 | $28.05 | +$4.35 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.790 |
| $27.75 |
| +$4.05 |
| sell |
| 131.59 |
| $0.029 |
| $3.82 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.011 | $0.55 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 117.01 | $0.015 | $1.76 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.926 | $9.26 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.18 | $0.180 | $1.47 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?No | sell | 216.99 | $0.031 | $6.73 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | sell | 93.33 | $0.998 | $93.14 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.960 | $0.95 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.820 | $2.17 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?No | buy | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 25.81 | $0.930 | $24 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.047 | $2.35 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 67.96 | $0.088 | $5.98 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?No | buy | 33.57 | $0.723 | $24.27 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended before August?No | sell | 10 | $0.937 | $9.37 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 35.08 | $0.458 | $16.07 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?No | sell | 31 | $0.988 | $30.63 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Harvard international students ban ended before August?No | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.104 | $10.4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?No | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 16.59 | $0.420 | $6.97 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 13.33 | $0.985 | $13.13 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |