Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$83.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 32% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 18% on 28 Jan 2026. $83.49K traded over the market's life.

33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:04 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Jan 2026	32.0%
28 Mar 2026	1.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tetrose	Yes	6.53K
ArthurGreen	Yes	483.38
kamarat	Yes	350

10 of 33 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.