Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.130 | $12.12 | -$37.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.842 | $27.59 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 165.58 |
| $0.302 |
| $10.76 |
| -$39.24 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 68.18 | $0.440 | $5.11 | -$24.89 |
| sell |
| 39.21 |
| $0.920 |
| $36.07 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.87 | $0.493 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 81.21 | $0.925 | $75.12 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.940 | $44.75 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 61.53 | $0.950 | $58.45 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 52.35 | $0.975 | $51.06 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 18.98 | $0.994 | $18.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | sell | 49.69 | $0.598 | $29.71 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | sell | 16.25 | $0.996 | $16.19 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 73.65 | $0.136 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?Yes | buy | 81.37 | $0.369 | $30 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 143.59 | $0.600 | $86.21 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.430 | $13.87 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 54.86 | $0.365 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 118.34 | $0.969 | $114.72 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 25.39 | $0.827 | $21 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?No | buy | 39.44 | $0.254 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.64 | $0.675 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 25.31 | $0.910 | $23.03 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.953 | $22.15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?No | buy | 23.71 | $0.844 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 143.6 | $0.209 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.53 | $0.799 | $30 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 52.36 | $0.955 | $50 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.71 | $0.914 | $50 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.350 | $12.07 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 61.22 | $0.260 | $15.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |