Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 42.9%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 97.2% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 42.9% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 42.9% on 16 May 2026. $538.91K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 2:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 60.5% |
| 16 May 2026 | 42.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Summit 53DA | No | 13.45K |
| osprey49621 | No | 11.75K |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | No | 11.23K |
| 99problems123 | No | 6.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| eightpenguins | No | 5.17K |
| wan123 | No | 4.38K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 4.29K |
| anonymouscode | No | 4.03K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 3K |
| troim | No | 3K |
