Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 50 points from 54% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
Across the 269 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.4%; a month before, 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 33% on 8 Jan 2026.
$65.72K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.98K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 392 trades, $921.89 bought Yes and $25.6K bought No.
The largest Yes position is nedplimpton with 586 shares; the largest No position is yevhenry with 500. Ten wallets hold 64.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 54.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nedplimpton | Yes | 585.99 |
| yevhenry | No | 500.01 |
| Anon5566 | No | 436.3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027
| Porx |
| No |
| 428.54 |
| Sly | Yes | 400 |
| Perypery | Yes | 320.91 |
| Moribundus | No | 281.64 |
| tradervader | No | 277.14 |
| Tricky-Tea | Yes | 263.84 |
| rocky42013 | Yes | 187 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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