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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | No | 3.37K | $0.816 | $3.12K | +$374.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.218 | $109.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.6K |
| $0.712 |
| $1.2K |
| +$60 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $983 | +$83 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.925 | $964.5 | +$39.51 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 910.18 | $0.963 | $888.8 | +$12.29 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | No | 621.05 | $0.890 | $590 | +$37.16 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? | No | 524.8 | $0.591 | $489.11 | +$179.18 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.800 | $443.75 | +$43.75 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | 432.32 | $0.930 | $412.86 | +$10.81 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | No | 281.64 | $0.663 | $270.8 | +$83.98 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | No | 235.34 | $0.950 | $228.51 | +$4.94 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? | No | 144.79 | $0.940 | $138.34 | +$2.24 |
| sell |
| 799.99 |
| $0.400 |
| $320 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.947 | $94.67 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 103.56 | $0.890 | $92.17 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.896 | $89.56 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?No | sell | 18.22 | $0.967 | $17.62 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 464.7 | $0.975 | $452.91 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?No | sell | 12.85 | $0.980 | $12.59 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?No | sell | 19.89 | $0.989 | $19.67 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?No | sell | 67.74 | $0.763 | $51.69 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026?No | sell | 7.3 | $0.870 | $6.35 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 550 | $0.957 | $526.35 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 30 | $0.971 | $29.13 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.950 | $33.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 3K | $0.979 | $2.94K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | buy | 98.42 | $0.750 | $73.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.059 | $29.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.19 | $0.988 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?No | buy | 102.75 | $0.973 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 242.08 | $0.826 | $200 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 110.95 | $0.901 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.960 | $41.15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No | buy | 23.49 | $0.940 | $22.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 87 | $0.952 | $82.87 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 370 | $0.946 | $350.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 130.37 | $0.937 | $122.19 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 100 | $0.939 | $93.88 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.884 | $88.39 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.820 | $58.22 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?No | buy | 76.26 | $0.930 | $70.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.85 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.980 | $8.32 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 57.49 | $0.830 | $47.72 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.05 | $0.800 | $36.04 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.376 | $37.56 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.576 | $57.6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 450 | $0.560 | $252 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.304 | $27.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.42 | $0.728 | $100 | Feb 6, 2026 |