Question 1

What is the “EU debt downgrade before 2027?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: EU debt downgrade before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

Right now Yes trades at 24.5¢ and No at 75.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 24.5% for Yes and 75.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($1.46K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($126.66) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 26 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 85.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 23, 9:12 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/eu-debt-downgrade-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
CodeBlank	buy	No	68.0%	6	Sep 1, 8:48 PM UTC
whyareyoureadingthis	sell	No

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Questions about this market