Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.41 | $0.172 | $10.88 | +$7.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.12 |
| $0.219 |
| $6.34 |
| +$4.34 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.170 | $4.97 | +$3.97 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $3.46 | +$2.46 |
 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | Yes | 32.17 | $0.062 | $3.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | No | 3.57 | $0.560 | $3.2 | +$1.2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.57 | $0.280 | $3.02 | +$2.02 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 7.73 | $0.517 | $2.98 | -$1.02 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 32.98 | $0.137 | $2.97 | -$1.53 |
 Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 118.46 | $0.017 | $2.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.11 | $0.220 | $2.87 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $2.81 | +$1.81 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $2.71 | +$1.71 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 23.97 | $0.125 | $2.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.92 | $0.447 | $2.57 | +$0.81 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $2.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4 | $0.250 | $2.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | No | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 2.21 | $0.452 | $2.07 | +$1.07 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $2.06 | +$1.06 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.63 | $0.413 | $1.98 | +$0.48 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| buy |
| 10.42 |
| $0.096 |
| $1 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in August?Yes | buy | 107.5 | $0.009 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?Yes | buy | 76.01 | $0.013 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.048 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?Yes | buy | 15.11 | $0.066 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?Yes | buy | 406.56 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?Yes | buy | 356.88 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?Yes | buy | 307.03 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.179 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |