Analytics
Yes is at 28%, about where the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the price held at 28.5%.
90-114 ranks second of the 10 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?”. 65-89 leads at 36%; 40-64 is at 14.5%.
$1.13K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.29K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $84.68 bought Yes and $493.55 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Demet3r with 300 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| Demet3r | Yes | 300 |
| amy888 | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026
| reefv |
| Yes |
| 120 |
| oboltusovao | Yes | 118.34 |
| dddtrips | Yes | 101.46 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 99.99 |
| IgorBgd | Yes | 74.07 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 50 |
| Johnnycashpot | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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