Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 12 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 24.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
65-89 ranks second of the 10 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?”. 90-114 leads at 30.5%; 115-139 is at 18%.
$2.74K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.74K since listing. The order book holds $3.13K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $289.35 bought Yes and $1.08K bought No.
The largest Yes position is dddtrips with 514 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 82.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.54K |
| dddtrips | Yes | 514.25 |
| Demet3r | Yes | 300 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026
| oboltusovao |
| Yes |
| 252.51 |
| amy888 | Yes | 199.99 |
| rocky42014 | No | 186.99 |
| anon264811 | No | 153 |
| CaprioDiLeo | Yes | 140 |
| reefv | Yes | 120 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 107.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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