Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 2.9 points from 5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 30 Oct 2026.
<40 ranks sixth of the 10 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?”. 65-89 leads at 36.5%; 90-114 is at 28%.
$311.7 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.68K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 314 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1K.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.04K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 313.66 |
| Demet3r | Yes | 300 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026
| kroko |
| Yes |
| 142.36 |
| oboltusovao | Yes | 130 |
| Fuadkrm7 | Yes | 100 |
| MartinPNZ | Yes | 100 |
| cicci | No | 100 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 44.31 |
| KTLA | Yes | 39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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