Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, up 2 points from 2.9% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 4.9% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 30 Oct 2026.
140-164 ranks fifth of the 10 outcomes in “Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?”. 65-89 leads at 36.5%; 90-114 is at 28%.
$6.83K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.44K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 25 trades, $48.08 bought Yes and $4.66K bought No; the largest was a $1.47K buy of No at 98.3¢.
The largest Yes position is vcxzvdr5e4 with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is clggzz with 6K.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| clggzz | No | 5.96K |
| vcxzvdr5e4 | Yes | 5.93K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.04K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-31-november-2-2026
| planktonXD |
| Yes |
| 670 |
| Mei-ji | No | 333 |
| Demet3r | Yes | 300 |
| oboltusovao | Yes | 130 |
| CaprioDiLeo | Yes | 129 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 70.66 |
| kroko | Yes | 60.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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