Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, down 2.4 points from 5% when the market opened on 16 May 2026.
Across the 161 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 2.9%.
$5.67K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $794.76K since listing. The order book holds $34.46K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $314.17 bought Yes and $21.48K bought No; the largest was a $7.18K sell of No at 96.1¢.
The largest Yes position is tradingdecs with 13.3K shares; the largest No position is ktv.bond with 28.3K. Ten wallets hold 62.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 16 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 5.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ktv.bond | No | 28.25K |
| tradingdecs | Yes | 13.33K |
| flovertaco | No | 12.25K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ebola-pandemic-in-2026
| jaybd |
| Yes |
| 10.73K |
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 6.57K |
| cyphpunk | Yes | 6K |
| Naropoly | No | 5K |
| yayyay | Yes | 4.1K |
| MtnMark | Yes | 3.97K |
| tetrase | No | 3.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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