Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 25.55K | $0.976 | $24.77K | -$172.27 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 309.79 | $0.968 | $300 | 20h ago |
|
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.935 |
| $4.85K |
| +$174.54 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.22K | $0.871 | $2.05K | +$120.1 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 602.62 | $0.800 | $560.44 | +$78.5 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 390.02 | $0.932 | $374.81 | +$11.31 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | No | 321.96 | $0.963 | $320.03 | +$10.03 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.905 | $298.05 | +$26.55 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 224.11 | $0.858 | $213.46 | +$21.23 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.810 | $75.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.350 | $70 | -$70 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.120 | $55 | -$65 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50 | $0.981 | $49.08 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 50 | $0.430 | $25.75 | +$4.25 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $23.25 | -$3.75 |
 Will Daniel Rezaei be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year? | No | 25 | $0.990 | $13.2 | -$11.55 |
| buy |
| 12.17 |
| $0.822 |
| $10 |
| 21h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | 22h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.876 | $70.07 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.4 | $0.974 | $63.7 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 224.11 | $0.858 | $192.24 | 7d ago |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.983 | $196.64 | 7d ago |
| Will Daniel Rezaei be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | 15d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.762 | $76.2 | 20d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67.03 | 20d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.65 | $0.987 | $28.28 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.98 | $0.986 | $89.71 | 21d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.991 | $4.42K | 22d ago |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.990 | $1.98K | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 5K | $0.992 | $4.96K | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1K | $0.992 | $992 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1K | $0.992 | $992 | 22d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 232.63 | $0.430 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.324 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 13.72 | $0.299 | $4.1 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.679 | $339.36 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 281.21 | $0.902 | $253.76 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 700 | $0.870 | $608.91 | 28d ago |
 Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.998 | $13.67 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 152.31 | $0.857 | $130.59 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.845 | $63.06 | 29d ago |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 572.94 | $0.984 | $564 | 29d ago |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 100 | $0.975 | $97.5 | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 62.82 | $0.987 | $62 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 319.59 | $0.960 | $306.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 183.21 | $0.996 | $182.48 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 80.84 | $0.996 | $80.52 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 118.18 | $0.989 | $116.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 115.95 | $0.994 | $115.31 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 159.61 | $0.995 | $158.81 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Aug 8, 2026 |