Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?

Name: Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No, settled Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.07M	0.0%	$0
rayku	Yes	274.08K	3.5%	$9.63K
Nickname99	Yes	110.26K	4.7%	$5.22K
ThePhantomMenace	Yes	83.54K	4.2%	$3.48K
StarVoting	Yes	62.91K	4.3%	$2.73K
Smartypants	Yes	51.06K	3.5%	$1.8K
Garcia1984	Yes	34.1K	3.8%	$1.3K
Miq834	Yes	25.57K	0.1%	$25.57
4rt56	Yes	22.61K	1.7%	$379.97
Thin-Precedent	Yes	22.19K	4.0%	$899.95
MarsLife	Yes	18.99K	3.7%	$704.24
markitzero	Yes	13.11K	4.1%	$542.88
avalonman	Yes	13.05K	4.1%	$535.13
Thunderhorse	Yes	12.54K	4.0%	$499.99
EAA	Yes	10.98K	5.0%	$548.73
4950	Yes	10.92K	4.6%	$499.99
tris-tan	Yes	7.5K	5.6%	$420
Deadpool77	Yes	7.37K	4.0%	$295.62
randomguy123	Yes	7K	6.0%	$419.94
undertaker	Yes	6.66K	3.1%	$208.04
bigdogg	Yes	5.29K	2.5%	$130
RCIV	Yes	5K	3.7%	$185
Recon-Bastard-Jovial	Yes	5K	3.6%	$182.47
Masterchief	Yes	3.45K	2.9%	$99.99
Boeufman420	Yes	3.29K	5.3%	$175
Siziriv	Yes	3.01K	3.1%	$93.96
freeluncheater	Yes	2.94K	3.4%	$100
BlackSwanTrading	Yes	2.94K	5.0%	$147.62
M0ike	Yes	2.8K	3.4%	$95
jonthecloser	Yes	2.49K	4.0%	$100
MAXXBowers	Yes	2.28K	4.4%	$100
kakuzo	Yes	2.12K	0.1%	$2.12
Emoney13	Yes	1.97K	5.1%	$100
Motty	Yes	1.88K	4.2%	$79.24
jimmy6711	Yes	1.81K	5.5%	$100
dslksdkl	Yes	1.77K	0.1%	$1.77
ALIV	Yes	1.7K	4.4%	$75
skasapis	Yes	1.7K	5.9%	$100
Renegade24	Yes	1.57K	4.8%	$75
willyduer	Yes	1.54K	4.4%	$68.03
Outsided	Yes	1.5K	4.0%	$60.51
Sleepyfan	Yes	1.5K	5.0%	$75
OrokuSaki	Yes	1.35K	3.7%	$50
Firebond2	Yes	1.34K	4.1%	$55
Dietcoke	Yes	1.22K	4.1%	$50
DoSi	Yes	1.22K	4.1%	$50
whathefman	Yes	1.08K	2.8%	$30
slurms85	Yes	1.06K	5.6%	$59.23
0x4...b482	Yes	1K	4.5%	$45.37
ams6699	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Submissive-Tuxedo	Yes	1K	5.6%	$56
HeinzTomatoKetchup	Yes	1K	4.5%	$45
Jdawesome10	Yes	892.86	5.6%	$50
HTbetter	Yes	692.31	2.6%	$18
androma	Yes	640	0.1%	$0.64	Dec 9, 9:20 PM UTC
kaf0021	Yes	636.11	3.9%	$25
Kevin123	Yes	634.28	4.1%	$26
TechFocused	Yes	631.46	5.0%	$31.52
Azemard	Yes	602.99	5.1%	$30.86
Axel410	Yes	509.08	3.9%	$20
Dsgog	Yes	500.39	3.5%	$17.81
BallKnower1990	Yes	500.37	2.9%	$14.71
XMikhailX	Yes	500	2.4%	$11.9
halav	Yes	499.99	2.5%	$12.5
akikaze	Yes	432.29	3.6%	$15.56
Folkert	Yes	370.37	5.4%	$20
Outstanding-Corsage	Yes	357.14	4.2%	$15
Babygertssen19	Yes	300	0.1%	$0.3
johnhenry	Yes	300	2.8%	$8.4
andree	Yes	300	0.1%	$0.3	Dec 11, 7:39 PM UTC
famous1	Yes	300	0.1%	$0.3
rumtumtugger	Yes	300	2.8%	$8.4
vetsidor	Yes	250	0.1%	$0.25	Dec 12, 3:59 PM UTC
pewitt	Yes	250	0.1%	$0.25	Dec 12, 3:01 PM UTC
HenryETH	Yes	238.1	4.2%	$10
Casey555	Yes	238.04	4.2%	$10
tbanks	Yes	232.56	4.3%	$10
hesterpepper	Yes	230	0.1%	$0.23	Dec 11, 7:10 PM UTC
FelixPrintemps	Yes	222.22	4.5%	$10
LeGarsPelot	Yes	222.22	4.5%	$10
Bamble	Yes	217.39	2.3%	$5
Weens	Yes	210.53	3.8%	$8
Turtleku	Yes	204.55	3.9%	$8
AOCsFeets	Yes	193.91	5.7%	$11
Zmeta	Yes	192.31	5.2%	$10
Cobalt Horizon A2B1	Yes	178.57	5.6%	$10
JustaSheep	Yes	178.57	5.6%	$10
icecreamsnoop	Yes	175.44	5.7%	$10
asshole	Yes	170	3.9%	$6.63
Violet Scout 6683	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15	Dec 8, 4:04 PM UTC
pupuli	Yes	130	0.1%	$0.13
pbaitor	Yes	126.43	5.5%	$7
ACanJadaS	Yes	125	4.0%	$5
PotatoLord	Yes	115.38	5.2%	$6
emk2k	Yes	114.04	5.7%	$6.5
Akertof	Yes	106.38	4.7%	$5
Unimportant-Relationship	Yes	104.17	4.8%	$5
randaty	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
randomisiert	Yes	100	5.6%	$5.6
LuckyLam	Yes	100	4.4%	$4.45
Bens	Yes	100	4.2%	$4.2
ramanujan-787	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
belads	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
oskarrr	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
ouestoeuf	Yes	100	3.5%	$3.5
Solar Beacon C47C	Yes	92.59	5.4%	$5
test2843	Yes	90.91	1.1%	$1
luka-magic	Yes	88.89	4.5%	$4
ER03PT	Yes	86.95	5.8%	$5
anataliocs.erh	Yes	84.75	5.9%	$5
Asg84ab1	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
Polteog	Yes	80	0.1%	$0.08
RayRandomn	Yes	68.18	4.4%	$3
nnngme	Yes	60	0.1%	$0.06
Eskimo1400	Yes	50	2.5%	$1.25
140Waltz	Yes	50	6.0%	$3
Veteer	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
Experienced-Domain	Yes	47.62	4.2%	$2
Boe-Jiden	Yes	46.36	10.8%	$5
EricTheGreen	Yes	43.48	4.6%	$2
yeskdofff	Yes	40	0.1%	$0.04
HaklayDeFi	Yes	37.04	2.7%	$1
CheckW	Yes	37.04	2.7%	$1
async	Yes	34.29	2.8%	$0.96
lionadis	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
vengence	Yes	25	3.2%	$0.8
PhilipJFry	Yes	22.73	4.4%	$1
fuh-526	Yes	20.83	4.8%	$1
adrianay	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
huangkdoi	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
hrffs	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
bbvvn	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
ccvffr	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
zzssd	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
yyhhu	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
vvvff	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
00000000011111111	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
pol333	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
zzssw	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
ccddf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
loookkdffe	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
33333300000000	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
00004444	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
bonbontyan	Yes	20	5.0%	$1
beletey	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
cuno	Yes	20	3.1%	$0.63
PolyPlays	No	15	97.5%	$14.63
dx82i	Yes	14.71	3.4%	$0.5
Wobbly-Nonsense	Yes	11.63	4.3%	$0.5
sdgsgg	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
xfgdrr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
bbbjj	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
jjjuiii	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
xxxee	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dgsdgg	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dfghdfd	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
gguui	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ynumt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
aswwws	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
yumujy	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
wwsdr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcvsd	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
GHIGI	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcasdf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggtttr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ddttty	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dfgsgf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
hhjfgf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
fgbnfgn	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
PolyDump	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcvdh	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dfgbxc	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
sssee	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ddgggt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
fgbfgn	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
sseer	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ffasvx	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zzzww	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
cvbcgh	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggddee	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
Twizzler	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
xcvgsdf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggddei	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
thngn	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggrtty	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dgasda	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
nghnt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
aawww	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
hhhrr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
fghdfdf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
cvsaved	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
hhttyt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
gchjnf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
aaaade	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
fgbnghm	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
0500KJIOHJ	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
cvbcghv	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
cgbfgf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
sdfvsdgf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
fgnfyg	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
sfffgrr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
maksikSSRR	Yes	5	3.1%	$0.16
livermorego	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
phroge	Yes	2.78	3.1%	$0.09
Difficult-Footstep	Yes	2	11.0%	$0.22
ghnnfdgert34532	No	1.54	97.7%	$1.5
Lofuef	No	1.36	97.5%	$1.32
Yaoii11	No	1.23	97.8%	$1.2
ywgdiu	No	1.14	96.3%	$1.1
jumpe	Yes	1.08	3.7%	$0.04
Emerald Beacon F675	Yes	1	5.7%	$0.06
Dasiode	No	0.96	97.5%	$0.94
LoseSavings	No	0.58	96.0%	$0.56
M4heart	Yes	0.22	4.5%	$0.01
Corrupt-Email	No	0.19	96.6%	$0.18
scattering	Yes	0.18	7.4%	$0.01
sosga	No	0.11	96.3%	$0.11
balancedd-245	No	0.1	95.9%	$0.1

218 of 218 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2.07M
PolyPlays	$15
ghnnfdgert34532	$1.54

Analytics