Latest trade
Nov 6, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:33 PM UTC.
Analytics
BlackSwanTrading is down $2.4K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 36 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2024-12-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 6, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:33 PM UTC.
$19.17 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Nov 4, 2024 UTC to Nov 6, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 7.66K | $0.013 | $101.12 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-12-18 02:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:33 UTC
polymarket positions
37 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-12-18 02:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $130.04 and losing ones cost $76.03 across 36 settled positions. 22.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $44.85 on “Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?” (Yes); the largest loss, $27.33 on “Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Nov 2024. It has traded 58 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.11K |
| $0.001 |
| $1.11 |
| Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.031 | $32.96 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.034 | $35 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.030 | $32 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 104.4 | $0.025 | $2.61 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.031 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.039 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Arizona be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.041 | $2.64 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 650.19 | $0.029 | $19.18 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 101.26 | $0.055 | $5.57 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 30.97 | $0.055 | $1.7 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 48.77 | $0.055 | $2.68 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 60.12 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 0.9 | $0.002 | $0 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 765.27 | $0.039 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 392.69 | $0.025 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 69.84 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.103 | $10.3 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 660.18 | $0.057 | $37.63 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.036 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 369.1 | $0.054 | $20 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 885.03 | $0.056 | $50 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 396.83 | $0.063 | $25 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | sell | 2.75K | $0.070 | $192.83 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.042 | $99.97 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.047 | $51.01 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.051 | $51.01 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 826.6 | $0.046 | $38.25 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.051 | $38.25 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?Yes | buy | 279.79 | $0.046 | $12.75 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.051 | $12.75 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.015 | $19.16 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 70.07 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Virginia be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 48.15 | $0.009 | $0.44 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Minnesota be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 796 | $0.051 | $40.6 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will New Mexico be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.009 | $17.95 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Maine be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District be the tipping point jurisdiction?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 466.67 | $0.015 | $7 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.045 | $50 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.037 | $50 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 124.39 | $0.040 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.