Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Nov 12, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 5.43 |
| $0.920 |
| $5 |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.388 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Washington Governor Election?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.970 | $5.07 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 263.26 | $0.999 | $263 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.030 | $0.24 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.032 | $0.38 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Election certified on January 6?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.070 | $0.82 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 170.32 | $0.017 | $2.9 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 46.44 | $0.040 | $1.86 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 61.51 | $0.575 | $35.37 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.94 | $0.930 | $7.38 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.660 | $6.47 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.600 | $9.83 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 91.38 | $0.596 | $54.46 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 65.33 | $0.830 | $54.22 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 2 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during Georgia rally on October 23?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 25?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 35 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "hurricane" 2 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tesla" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "weave" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 35 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Ford" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |