Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.049 | $52.32 | Nov 5, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 178.93 |
| $0.049 |
| $8.77 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala wins and immediately bans X?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.048 | $0.48 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.160 | $52.8 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 940.52 | $0.057 | $53.31 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 220.2 | $0.053 | $11.67 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 642.1 | $0.100 | $64.21 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 200 | $0.087 | $17.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 300 | $0.086 | $25.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Kamala wins and immediately bans X?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.070 | $105 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 64.98 | $0.227 | $14.75 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.055 | $13.75 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 250 | $0.027 | $6.75 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.057 | $6.04 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.100 | $2.2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 22.4 | $0.260 | $5.82 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.290 | $7.25 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.0-1.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.0-1.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.5 or more on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 794.38 | $0.008 | $6.04 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.0-2.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 991.46 | $0.004 | $3.96 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 100 | $0.269 | $26.9 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 5.22 | $0.160 | $0.84 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 324 | $0.079 | $25.6 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 188.77 | $0.047 | $8.87 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 304.41 | $0.007 | $2.13 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.5 or more on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 889.05 | $0.007 | $6.22 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.0-1.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.010 | $0.22 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.0-1.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 155.47 | $0.010 | $1.55 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.5 or more on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 56.98 | $0.014 | $0.8 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.0-2.4 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 68.99 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 2.5 or more on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 1.77K | $0.038 | $67.26 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Kamala | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.028 | $8.4 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Candidates seated at ABC debate?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Candidates seated at ABC debate?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will the debate have less than 50 million viewers?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 9, 2024 |